Resolution
When a market closes, its outcome is finalized (this is resolution), and holders settle their outcomes for USDT.
#How an outcome is determined
For a market the operations team created, the team finalizes the outcome after it closes. In a binary market, either YES or NO becomes the correct answer, and:
- 1 winning share → 1 USDT
- 1 losing share → 0 USDT
In a categorical market each candidate is its own YES / NO pair: the winning candidate's YES shares and every other candidate's NO shares settle at 1 USDT, and the rest at 0. What decides the outcome is written in the Resolution criteria section of the market page.
#AI-proposed markets
Markets created through market proposals are resolved by the AI. It checks the result at the market's resolution date, about two hours after the result is expected to be public and never sooner than two hours after trading closes, so that early or mistaken reports have time to be corrected. It gathers evidence again, and the models check each other's verdict against the market's resolution criteria. Of these, markets whose result is decided by a number on the supported list settle on the value read directly from the one source the market names: Binance spot USDT 1-minute klines for a cryptocurrency's price, Naver Finance daily bars for a stock's or index's official close, the Seoul Money Brokerage or ECB reference rate for an exchange rate, FRED for a US release as first published, and Korea Meteorological Administration records for the weather.
- When the final verdict has a confidence of 0.80 or higher, the outcome is recorded automatically.
- Otherwise, the operations team reviews it before anything is recorded.
- In a categorical market exactly one candidate wins. A result that none of the named candidates covers goes to Other when the market has one, and to the operations team when it does not.
#Automatic resolution (price markets)
Price markets don't wait for the operations team. When a window ends, the outcome is determined on-chain from prices signed by the RedStone oracle — an end price at or above the target resolves Up, otherwise Down — and settlement completes shortly after the window ends, typically under a minute.
#Cancelled markets
A market that's CANCELLED because its outcome was voided pays holders USDT proportionally, based on the market price at the time of cancellation. For example, if a market where YES stopped at 0.65 is cancelled, 1 YES share is refunded as 0.65 USDT and 1 NO share as 0.35 USDT. If you held equal amounts of YES and NO, you effectively get your principal back. Collect it with Redeem, the same as a resolved market.
#Redeeming
In a resolved market, press the Redeem button and USDT is deposited to your wallet. There's no expiration, so you can redeem later. For the detailed procedure, see Redeem.
#If resolution is delayed
- The Resolution criteria section on the market page — shows whether an outcome has been entered and what the source is.
- Raising a dispute — if you believe there's a clear error, contact the operations team (currently a manual process).